Tennis betting with examples, odds and game strategies

Friday, 22 July 2022

As I said in a previous article, there are a few factors to always keep in mind when betting on tennis. Each of these factors can be and are quantified in the odds offered by bookmakers.

In general, bookmakers buy odds from odds compilers or offer them from their own specialised departments. By the year of 2022, the artificial intelligence has made its way into every field and is making its presence felt in sports betting.

Just as athletes’ training is assisted by AI, their performance is tracked and quantified as accurately as possible. There is data on the number of steps taken by a given player on the court, quality of service, correlations on winning shots or unforced errors.

LONDON, ENGLAND – JULY 02: Roger Federer of Switzerland serves to Dusan Lajovic of Serbia during their Men’s Singles first round match on day one of the Wimbledon Lawn Tennis Championships at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club on July 2, 2018 in London, England. (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

Defeating factors and best bets

– playing surface. Each surface completely changes the way the game unfolds. From the tactics of the game to the movement on the field, the dynamics of the tennis match are different on each surface. The pace of the game, the rotation of the ball, the play of the feet and the consistency are the factors that you must take into account.

The International Tennis Federation (ITF) currently lists and classifies over 300 different playing surfaces with a wide range of playing characteristics. And by 2022, clay is gaining more and more ground, even though is the most demanding surface, in terms of physical effort.

For the time being, concrete is the most used surface in the professional circuit. Whether hard-indoor or hard-outdoor, concrete favors players who are very tall, strong and hit the ball hard.

Pitches are already classified as slow, medium-slow, medium, medium-fast, fast. On each surface, the ball spin and bounce are different. As a result, the dynamics of the game are substantially affected.

With hard surfaces, the impact on players’ bodies is different and the chances of injury increase. At the opposite pole is the turf which leads to a more fluid game and protects better.

Let’s see in a nutshell:

  • Clay: the slowest surface, it favors long, short ball exchanges, but greatly reduces the importance of the serve. Field movement, strength coupled with good shot mechanics, patience and spin shots all come into their own immediately on clay.
  • Grass: the least common surface, the grass season is only 5 weeks long. Powerful, accurate serve and fast stroke mechanics prevail in the best players on this surface. Fast ball exchanges, increased speed and the service-volley style still has a chance to win.
  • Concrete: advantages physical strength and quick shots. Specific to the American area, it is easy to maintain and the games are quite spectacular. The movement is faster than on clay, the effect of the ball does not influence dramatically, but the strength and accuracy of the shot does.
  • Parquet: faster than grass but very isolated, it is still encountered at a few small indoor tournaments. A spectacular surface, very fast and totally advantageous for the brutal serve.

– history of direct meetings. The adaptability of each player is also influenced by the opponent. In the circuit, the meetings are frequent and the history (h2h) is essential on each surface. The mechanics of the shot, the force of the service, the movement in the field are dramatically influenced. It’s no secret that Spanish players play better on clay, Americans on hard surfaces and Australians or English on grass. It is the influence of the dominant surface on which they have trained throughout their careers.

There are classic tennis examples of rivalries and players who could not overcome the condition against an opponent. It is certain that a certain psychological pressure arises, even the fear of a 5-0 or 7-1 history between 2 players.

– accuracy and strength of service. In the case of senior players, the strength of the service makes its mark on the game as much as possible. The grass benefits the service very quickly, while the clay attenuates the force of the blow. The movement of a very tall player on the field can suffer on clay and this can be seen in the game. Otherwise, you can find very good bets on the number of aces or double faults in games where players who rely heavily on service meet.

– the importance of the tournament. The professional circuit is organized in such a way that each player scores points but also defends his position previously won in a certain tournament. However, when a Grand Slam tournament follows, syncope and contradictory games may occur. But if you think about the value of the prizes at an important tournament, there will be quite plausible explanations.

Prizes, points earned, points to be defended and other tournament-related factors contribute to and modify player behaviour and adaptation.

The term “Grand Slam” was first used in the New York Times by journalist John Kieran. These tournaments are played in a best of 5 sets system, which favors players who are physically fitter and more adaptable.

– tournament location. Temperature, humidity, playing time are factors that can influence a player differently. Despite sustained training, some players may have difficulty adjusting. Even game scheduling has an impact on the players’ psyche.

– player involvement in the tournament and adjacent events. French players demonstrate increasing efforts in the tournaments in Paris, as Serbs play better in tournaments in their home country. The next step is “home tournaments” such as Basel for Federer or Belgrade for Djokovic and Roland Garros for Nadal.

Practical tennis betting strategies

The general framework for betting on tennis takes into account several principles. A mix between aspects of the actual game and money management as they are:

  • Bet when the odds you find seem valuable;
  • Specialize, inform yourself, tennis is a complex sport and requires continuous study;
  • Use accounts at several online bookmakers;
  • Get as organized as possible and keep track of your bets;
  • Watch the players you bet on, serve and return are of paramount importance;
  • Analyze your opponents’ style of play and see which suits best the playing surface;
  • Observe the playing surface, read the players’ comments and feedback;
  • Respect the stake chosen, the number of bets, the strategy itself.

At the same time, you have to consider the important indicators for tennis:

  • Winning shots
  • Unforced errors
  • Percentage at first serve
  • Points won on first serve
  • Percentage of winning returns

And among the most popular and easy to use betting strategies on tennis would be:


  • Odds @2.00 or higher from 2-3 matches
  • The climber’s strategy, in which you repeatedly bet a certain amount on @1.20 – @1.50 until you reach your goal
  • Betting on lower-rated players to win a set or handicap sets
  • Betting on the number of aces if facing strong serving players. You can also consider betting on the number of double faults made

Tennis is a fascinating sport and betting on tennis borrows enormously from the specifics of the game especially when it comes to live. The odds are volatile, situations change quickly, the dynamics of the game change and you have to have nerves or enjoy every ball.

Author: Editor

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