Tuesday, 30 May 2023

Odds @2.00 between doubling the stake and a punter’s expectations

Betting on odds @2.00 is the one that doubles your stake in case of a successful prediction. It’s so simple! You bet 50 lei on odds @2.00 and win 100 lei (I omitted taxes and fees for a simpler approach) when your bet is as expected.

If we assume that you bet odds of @2.00, this mathematically means that you have to win more than 50% of your bets to make a profit. It means that the only (really) viable strategy is to find bets that have a real chance of winning 50% higher than your expectations.

Basically, it is easy to understand that in the case of an Arsenal – Chelsea 1 @2.10 X @3.20 @3.40 match, the odds of @2.10 are valuable if you estimate that Arsenal has a 50% chance of winning. That’s because @2.10 is more than 50% probability of winning. In betting, practical examples are everything, so we’ll focus on one game:

At home, U Craiova 1948 has better results compared to the trips of Chindia Targoviste. 3 consecutive wins versus 3 draws in a row. A hard-scoring clash, with both teams giving the impression that they are ok with scoring just one goal. In this case, the odds on the hosts to win are @2.00. It is most useful to study the offer carefully and bet where you find the highest odds. A difference from @2.01 to @1.25 is significant. Automatically, a higher odds, like @2.15, is valuable and the bet deserves your full attention.

Leaving aside the philosophy of odds @2.00, when focusing on betting, you should take into account certain aspects that can quickly make the difference between profit and loss.

How to get a successful @2.00 odds

There are a few options you can stop at:

you get odds @2.00 from a single bet/match. Whether you use fixed stakes or various other money management strategies, it is the recognized best option. Thanks to the flexibility and the way you can track and control the bet placed, with increased chances of success and very practical.

you get odds @2.00 from 2 bets (two lower odds on different matches). 3 bets is already a lot, the risks increase unjustifiably compared to the time and effort put in. It is understood that more than 3 bets to build an odds @2.00 is of no interest to a punter.

It is clear to see the difference and the risks between the two tickets below, even though both are at odds @2.00 and lead to close potential gains. Any extra event is an assumed risk that reduces your chances of winning.

you get odds @2.00 using betbuilder (2, even 3 bets) on a single match. An option that requires a lot of attention, especially as you get lower odds when using betbuilder. Bookmakers promote betbuilder and the possibility to bet on several events within a match but this option should be viewed with great caution.

What to avoid when looking for good @2.00 odds

The most important thing is to analyze your choices and use betting types you know. You don’t do the @2.00 odds for the sake of crossing a certain threshold or to double your money but to make a profit. And you have to take into account that you need a sufficient number of bets. For that you need to be very careful with your money management. 5% of bank/bet is a reasonable percentage and recommended by many punters.

The ability to choose is a defining trait of a punter. This ability develops over time and is influenced by your knowledge, how you follow certain teams/leagues/matches.

Use types of bets you have access to and know you’ll find easily. For example, it is recommended to opt for more than 1.5 goals in the match as opposed to more than 1.5 cards/team/shot or more than 1.5 shots per goal/team/shot, bets that may not be available/offered.

Estimate the real value of the odds you want to bet and make comparisons. It’s easy to spot the differences and find the best option for you. Avoid bets you don’t know, don’t master, and don’t jump to follow every “tip” or “prediction” you come across.

 

Lecce – Udinese/ over 2.5 goals at the bookmakers. There can be large percentage differences between operators’ offers, as shown above.

Otherwise, any bet you place must be affordable. If a bookmaker lists certain events only on the day of the match or a few hours before it starts, you need to be cautious. Maybe you don’t have the time or you’re not on top of a particular odds or bet.

Avoid that!

Just a few examples below of variants you should not follow when using @2.00 odds:

Odds @2.18 out of 7 events!

Odds @2.14 out of 6 tennis events!

 

Betting is a marathon, not a sprint (as many like to say)! In fact, it means consistency, attention, persistence, hard work, continuous information and a touch of luck. Because they are games of chance, they can be influenced by external factors and the unexpected. And you have to chase the profit and enjoy the game experience at the same time. Otherwise…there is no difference between you and artificial intelligence. Chapeau!





Author: Editor

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